\u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a<\/span><\/p>\n \u0625\u0639\u062f\u0627\u062f \u2013 \u0628\u0648\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0639\u0645\u0631 -2023.01.18-<\/span><\/p>\n \u0644\u062a\u0646\u0632\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0644\u0641 pdf \u0623\u0646\u0642\u0631 \u0647\u0646\u0627\u00a0<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \u0646\u0634\u0631 \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u201c\u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u0625\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0644\u062c\u0646\u0633 \u064a\u064f\u0648\u0646\u062a\/ Economist Intelligence Unit\u201d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u0628\u0639 \u0644\u0640\u0644\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u062d\u0627\u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u064a\u0637\u0627\u0646\u064a \u201c\u0645\u062c\u0645\u0648\u0639\u0629 \u0625\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0633\u062a\/ Economist group\u201d\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u064f\u0635\u062f\u0631 \u201c\u0645\u062c\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0633\u062a\/ The Economist\u201d<\/span>[1]<\/span><\/a>\u00a0\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0628\u0648\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0630\u0627\u0626\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u062a\u061b \u0646\u0634\u0631 \u0641\u064a (\u0646\u0648\u0641\u0645\u0628\u0631\/ 2022)\u060c \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0631\u064a \u0628\u0639\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u201c\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2023\/Risk outlook 2023\u00a0\u201c<\/span>[2]<\/span><\/a>. \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u064a\u064f\u0631\u0635\u064e\u062f\u064f \u0641\u064a\u0647 \u0639\u0645\u0648\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0648-\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0648- \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0631\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a.<\/span><\/p>\n \u0648\u0642\u062f \u0642\u0627\u0645 \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u201c\u0623\u0646\u062a\u0631\u064a\u062c\u064a\u0648\u0646\u0627\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u062c\u064a\u0629 \/<\/span>InterRegional for Strategic Analysis\u201c<\/b>\u00a0<\/span>\u0628\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0645 \u0642\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0631\u062c\u0645\u0629 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\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0648\u0631\u062f \u0641\u064a\u0647\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u0627\u0645\u062a \u0628\u0625\u0635\u062f\u0627\u0631\u0647 \u0648\u0646\u0634\u0631\u0647\u060c \u064a\u062d\u0633\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u062a\u0643\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0648\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0648\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0639\u0627\u0628 \u0645\u0646\u062a\u0648\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u062d\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0631\u0636.<\/b><\/p>\n \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0631\u064a\u0641 \u0628\u0640\u201d\u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629\u00a0 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u0625\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0644\u062c\u0646\u0633 \u064a\u064f\u0648\u0646\u062a\/ Economist \u2013 EIU- Intelligence Unit\u201d \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n \u062a\u064f\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u201c\u0648\u062d\u062f\u0629\u00a0 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u2013 \u0625\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0633\u062a \u0625\u0646\u062a\u0644\u062c\u0646\u0633 \u064a\u064f\u0648\u0646\u062a\/ Economist \u2013 EIU Intelligence Unit\u201d \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0647\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0648\u0636\u0639\u062a\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647\u060c \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u201c\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0627\u0626\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u201d (The world leader in global business intelligence)<\/span>[5]<\/span><\/a>\u061b \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u201c\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645 \u0631\u0624\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0645\u064a\u0642\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0648\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0626\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0632\u062f\u0627\u062f \u062a\u0639\u0642\u064a\u062f\u0627\u201d\u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062a\u064f\u062d\u062f\u062f \u0648\u062a\u064f\u0639\u0631\u0651\u0641 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0642 \u0646\u0641\u0633\u0647 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\u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\/ High probability; Very high impact)<\/span><\/p>\n \u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u0645 \u0628\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0636\u064a\u0641\u0627\u064b \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629\u064b \u0623\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0645\u062f\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0637\u0639 \u0625\u0645\u062f\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629\u060c \u0633\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0644\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0623\u0648 \u062c\u0632\u0626\u064a\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0642\u0641\u062a \u062a\u062f\u0641\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632 \u0625\u0644\u0649 12 \u062f\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a. \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062a\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u200b\u200b\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0646\u0641\u062f \u0627\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0637\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0642\u062a \u0645\u0628\u0643\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0639 \u0633\u062a\u0641\u0634\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u062a\u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0645\u062a\u062f \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n \u0648\u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u0639\u062a\u062f\u0644\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0646\u0643\u0645\u0627\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a \u0644\u0645\u0646\u0637\u0642\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u064a\u0648\u0631\u0648 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 0.4% \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645 2023. \u0648\u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0633\u062a\u0636\u0637\u0631 \u0623\u062c\u0632\u0627\u0621 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0631\u0634\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0631\u064a\u062f. \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0641\u0644\u0627\u0633\u060c \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0633\u062a\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0631\u0628\u062d\u0629. \u0648\u0644\u0641\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0633\u0648\u0623 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062d\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u0642\u0646\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0628\u0642\u0648\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0647\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0626\u064a.<\/span><\/p>\n \u0648\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0642\u0641 \u062d\u0645\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u064f\u0633\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0641\u0626\u0629 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0642\u0631 \u0648\u062a\u0622\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0647\u0644\u0643\u064a\u0646. \u0648\u0634\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0636\u0627\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u064a\u064f\u0639\u062f \u062e\u0637\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0636\u0627\u0641\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0627\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648\u061b \u062d\u064a\u062b \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0648\u0642\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0636\u0627\u0621 \u062a\u062f\u0641\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062c\u064a\u0631\u0627\u0646\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u062a\u0642\u0644\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0645\u0646\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0644\u064a. \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0649 \u0648\u0623\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0633\u0627 \u0633\u062a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0643\u062b\u0631 \u062a\u0639\u0631\u0636\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0645\u064a\u0642 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648.<\/span><\/p>\n (\u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0644 \u0647\u0646\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0627 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u064f\u0634\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u064a\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0647\u0648 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0644\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0641\u0648\u0642 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0635\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/span>[7]<\/span><\/a>\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644 \u0637\u0648\u0627\u0644 \u0623\u0634\u0647\u0631 \u0646\u0648\u0641\u0645\u0628\u0631 \u0648\u062f\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0628\u0631 2022 \u0648\u0645\u0637\u0644\u0639 \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u062c\u0627\u0646\u0641\u064a 2023\u060c \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0646\u064a\u0646\u0627 \u0637\u0628\u0639\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0635\u0641\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062b\u0644\u062c\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0627\u062d\u062a \u0648\u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0632\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 -\u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627- \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0645\u0627 \u0642\u0628\u0644 \u0646\u0647\u0627\u064a\u0629 \u0634\u0647\u0631 \u062f\u064a\u0633\u0645\u0628\u0631\/2022\u061b \u0648\u0623\u062f\u0649 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0631\u0627\u062c\u0639 \u0645\u062d\u0633\u0648\u0633 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632 \u062b\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0630\u0628\u0630\u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0647\u0627. \u0637\u0628\u0639\u0627 \u0644\u0627 \u064a\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u062d\u062f\u0647 \u0641\u0642\u0637\u060c \u0628\u0644 \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0642\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0647\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u064a\u0642\u0641 \u0648\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u063a\u0644\u0628\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0631\u062f\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u0627\u0624\u0645 \u0645\u0639\u0627 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u064a\u0626\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062e\u0635\u0635\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0623\u0646 \u0628\u062e\u0635\u0648\u0635 \u0644\u0627 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0627\u0632 \u0628\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0641\u0637 \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u00a0<\/span>[8]<\/span><\/a>).<\/span><\/p>\n \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 (\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0639\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a\/ High probability; High impact)<\/span><\/p>\n \u064a\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0646\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0630\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0642\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0629 \u0628\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b. \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u062a\u0634\u064a\u0631 \u0646\u0645\u0627\u0630\u062c \u062a\u063a\u064a\u0651\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u0627\u062e \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0638\u0648\u0627\u0647\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0637\u0631\u0641\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0636\u064a\u0641\u0627\u064b \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u0648\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0641\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062f\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0639\u0627\u0645 2022 \u0633\u0627\u0647\u0645\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0630\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629.<\/span><\/p>\n \u064a\u064f\u0636\u0627\u0641 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u2013 \u0648\u0647\u0645\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0643\u0628\u0631 \u0645\u0635\u062f\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0632\u0631\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u2013 \u0623\u062f\u0651\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u062a\u0633\u0628\u0628\u062a \u0641\u064a \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0628\u0648\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0645\u062f\u0629. \u0648\u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u060c \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u2013 \u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u2013 \u0641\u062a\u0631\u0629 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0646\u0642\u0635 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u0627\u0635\u064a\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0646\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0630\u0627\u0626\u064a \u0623\u0648 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0645\u062c\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a.<\/span><\/p>\n <\/p>\n \u2013 \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646<\/span><\/p>\n (\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\/Moderate probability; Very high impact)<\/span><\/p>\n \u0623<\/b>\u0643\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0646\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0639 \u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0648\u0625\u062c\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0647\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0629\u060c \u0645\u0634\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u062d\u062f\u062b \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b. \u0648\u0631\u0623\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639 \u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u0635\u0627\u0639\u062f\u062a \u0639\u0646\u062f\u0645\u0627 \u0642\u0627\u0645\u062a \u0628\u0643\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0639\u062f \u0632\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u0629 \u0645\u062c\u0644\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0627\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0627\u0628\u0642\u0629 \u201c\u0646\u0627\u0646\u0633\u064a \u0628\u064a\u0644\u0648\u0633\u064a\u201d \u0644\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u063a\u0633\u0637\u0633\/\u0623\u0648\u062a 2022. \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0636\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0630\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u0636\u0645\u0646\u062a \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0630\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0629 \u062f\u0627\u062e\u0644 \u0648\u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646.<\/span><\/p>\n \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u062a\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0623\u0643\u064a\u062f\u0647\u0627 \u0623\u0646 \u0646\u0647\u062c\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u0633\u064a \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646 \u0644\u0645 \u064a\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u062a\u062e\u0648\u0641 \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0637\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0633\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0638\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0627\u062f \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0648\u0646\u062c\u0631\u0633 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a. \u0648\u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u064a\u0642\u0644\u0635 \u0627\u0639\u062a\u0645\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0634\u0628\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0635\u0644\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0648\u0641 \u0645\u0646 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0631\u062f \u0641\u0639\u0644 \u0623\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0643\u064a \u0642\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u060c \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0632\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644.<\/span><\/p>\n \u0648\u0645\u0639 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0642\u0627\u0645\u062a \u0628\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627\u060c \u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u2013 \u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u2013 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0637\u0631 \u0633\u0648\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u062f\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0642\u062f \u064a\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0648\u0633\u0639. \u0648\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0642\u0636\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0628\u0645\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0629 \u0623\u0634\u0628\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0635\u0644\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0645\u062f \u0639\u0644\u064a\u0647\u0627 \u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u0634\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u064f\u0646\u0630\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0645\u062a\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0623\u0633\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0627\u0628\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u062f\u0644\u0627\u0639 \u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0643\u0627\u0631\u062b\u064a.<\/span><\/p>\n (\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u062c\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\/ Very high probability; Moderate impact)<\/span><\/p>\n \u0634\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0648\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0636\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u2013\u062d\u0633\u0628\u0647- \u0628\u0645\u0639\u062f\u0644 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637. \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0648\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0629\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062c\u0645\u0629 \u0639\u0646 \u0627\u0636\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0631\u064a\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u060c \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u060c \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0628\u0644\u063a \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647 \u0645\u0646\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0633\u0639\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0627\u062a. \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0633\u062a\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u0643\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0645\u0646 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0648\u0631\u060c \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u064a\u062c\u0639\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0639\u0628 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0642\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0634\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0636\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0627\u062c\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0629. \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0648\u0642\u0639\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0647\u0646\u062f \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0625\u0643\u0648\u0627\u062f\u0648\u0631 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062c\u0646\u062a\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0628\u0628<\/span>[9]<\/span><\/a>. \u0648\u062d\u0633\u0628\u0647 \u062f\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0627\u060c \u0642\u062f \u062a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u062c\u0627\u062c\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u0631\u0649\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0646\u0633\u064a\u0642 \u0641\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0628\u064a\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u0634\u0646 \u0625\u0636\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0633\u0639\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0637\u0627\u0642 \u0644\u0644\u0645\u0637\u0627\u0644\u0628\u0629 \u0628\u0631\u0648\u0627\u062a\u0628 \u0623\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062a\u0646\u0627\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645. \u0648\u0644\u0641\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u063a\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u0623\u062b\u0631\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0644\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0646\u0626 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0643\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f\u064a\u0629\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0634\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0646\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0628\u0623\u0643\u0645\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u062a\u0645\u062a\u062f \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0648 \u0628\u0644\u062f\u0627\u0646 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0639\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0645\u0627 \u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631.<\/span><\/p>\n 5- \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0636\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0644\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u0641\u0634\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0628\u0626\u0629 \u0645\u062c\u062f\u062f\u0627\u064b<\/span><\/p>\n (\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\/ Moderate probability; Very high impact)<\/span><\/p>\n \u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0644\u0638\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u062d\u0648\u0631 \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0644\u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0647\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0645\u0627 \u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631. \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u062e\u0636\u0645 \u0639\u062f\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0627\u0648\u0627\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0642\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u060c \u0648\u062a\u062f\u0627\u0639\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0628\u0627\u0621\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062e\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0638\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u062c\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0627\u062e\u0631 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2022 \u0623\u0648 \u0623\u0648\u0627\u0626\u0644 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2023. \u0648\u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0631\u062a\u0628\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0641\u0642\u0637 \u0628\u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u064a\u062d\u0630\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0621 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649\u060c \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0642\u0631\u064a\u0628\u0627\u064b \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u062c\u062f\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0631\u0648\u062f. \u0648\u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0638\u0647\u0631 \u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u062e\u0637\u064a\u0631 \u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0628\u062e\u0644\u0627\u0641 \u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627\u060c \u0641\u0642\u062f \u062a\u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629 \u062a\u062f\u0627\u0628\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642\u060c \u0648\u0642\u062f \u064a\u0639\u0648\u062f \u062d\u0638\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u0641\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0633\u064a\u062a\u0642\u0644\u0635 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0639\u0627\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u062d\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062e\u062f\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0645\u0628\u064a\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0632\u0626\u0629. \u0648\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0633\u064a\u062a\u0645 \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0625\u0639\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0636\u0628\u0637 \u062d\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0637\u0639\u064a\u0645\u060c \u0625\u0630\u0627 \u0643\u0627\u0646 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u0646\u062a\u062c\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0644\u0642\u0627\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0628\u062f\u0624\u0648\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0641\u0631\u060c \u0648\u0633\u064a\u0639\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f\u060c \u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0645\u0627 \u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631.<\/span><\/p>\n 6- \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0634\u0644\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0629:<\/span><\/p>\n \u00a0(\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\/Moderate probability; Very high impact)<\/span><\/p>\n \u00a0\u0631\u0623\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0634\u0644\u0644 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u064f\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0643\u0628\u0631\u0649 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0647\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0645\u0627 \u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631. \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062d\u064a\u0637\u0629 \u0628\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0632\u0627\u062f\u062a \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0642\u0648\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644. \u0648\u0623\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0638\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0628\u0627\u0634\u0631 \u0648\u0635\u0639\u0648\u0628\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0631\u062a\u0643\u0628\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u062c\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u062e\u0630 \u0623\u064a \u062a\u0635\u0639\u064a\u062f \u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u062f\u0627\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0629.<\/span><\/p>\n \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062d\u062f\u062b \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0628\u0644\u0648\u0645\u0627\u0633\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u060c \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0644\u0643\u062a\u0631\u0648\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0628\u0627\u062f\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0631\u0645\u062c\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u062a\u062d\u0643\u0645 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0643\u0644 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627. \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0628\u0643\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0643\u0647\u0631\u0628\u0627\u0621 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0628\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062b\u0627\u0644 \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0633\u064a\u0628\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u060c \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0639\u0637\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0628\u0634\u062f\u0629.<\/span><\/p>\n –\u00a0\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0641\u0635\u0644 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u06287<\/p>\n (\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\/ Moderate probability; High impact)<\/p>\n \u0634\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u060c \u0648\u062a\u0633\u0628\u064f\u0651\u0628\u0650 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u064a \u0641\u0635\u0644 \u0643\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0647\u064a \u0641\u064a \u062f\u0631\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0645\u0627 \u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631. \u0648\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0637\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0633\u064a\u0645\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a\u060c \u062a\u0634\u0639\u0631 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0644\u0642 \u0628\u0634\u0623\u0646 \u062f\u0639\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0639\u0642\u0628 \u062a\u062f\u062e\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627.<\/p>\n \u0648\u0628\u0645\u0648\u0627\u0632\u0627\u0629 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u062a\u0634\u0639\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u2013 \u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u2013 \u00a0\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0642\u0644\u0642 \u0625\u0632\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0644\u0627\u0642\u0627\u062a \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0648\u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0647\u0648\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0628\u0630\u0644\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0644\u0627\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u062d\u062f\u0629 \u0644\u0625\u0642\u0646\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0645\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0637\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0636\u063a\u0637 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0628\u0643\u064a\u0646 \u0628\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062e\u062f\u0627\u0645 \u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0643\u0646\u0648\u0644\u0648\u062c\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0645\u0648\u064a\u0644. \u0648\u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0643\u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u0627\u062a\u062e\u0630 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0645\u0648\u0642\u0641\u0627\u064b \u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0645\u064a\u0627\u064b \u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f\u0627\u064b \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0627\u0646\u062a\u0647\u0627\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0644\u062d\u0642\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u0646\u0633\u0627\u0646 \u0641\u064a \u0625\u0642\u0644\u064a\u0645 \u0634\u064a\u0646\u062c\u064a\u0627\u0646\u062c \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u0644\u0645\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0633\u0627\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646.<\/p>\n \u0648\u0631\u0623\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0648\u0639 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0646\u0627\u0648\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0633\u0643\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0628\u062d\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0646\u0648\u0628\u064a\u060c \u0648\u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u062c\u062d \u0641\u064a \u062a\u0627\u064a\u0648\u0627\u0646\u060c \u0628\u0634\u0643\u0644 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u0641\u0627\u0642\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u062a\u0631\u0627\u062a\u060c \u0648\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062d\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0628\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0641\u0631\u0636 \u0642\u064a\u0648\u062f \u062a\u062c\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0629 \u0634\u0627\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646. \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062c\u0628\u0631 \u0628\u0639\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0646\u062d\u064a\u0627\u0632 \u0644\u0623\u062d\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0641. \u0648\u0631\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0645\u0646\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u2013 \u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u2013 \u00a0\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0645 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0628\u0631 \u062d\u064a\u0648\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u063a\u0631\u0628\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0646\u0627\u0635\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0631\u0636\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062f\u0631\u0629 (Les terres rares). \u0648\u0628\u0627\u0644\u0637\u0628\u0639 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0644\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0622\u062b\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0627\u0631\u062b\u064a\u0629.<\/p>\n 8-\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0645\u0648\u0627\u0635\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645 \u062a\u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639 \u0648\u062a\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629<\/p>\n (\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a\/ Moderate probability; Moderate impact)<\/p>\n \u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0634\u062f\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0642\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u064a \u0647\u064a \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0629\u060c \u0644\u0627\u0641\u062a\u0627\u064b \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0645\u062a\u0648\u0633\u0637\u0627\u064b \u0623\u064a\u0636\u0627\u064b. \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0626\u064a\u0633\u0629 \u0642\u062f \u062a\u0631\u0641\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0633\u0631\u064a\u0639\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0641\u064a \u0645\u062d\u0627\u0648\u0644\u0629 \u0645\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0644\u062a\u0631\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0632\u0627\u064a\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0639\u0638\u0645 \u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645. \u0648\u0623\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0623\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062d\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0637\u0648\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062c\u0644\u061b \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0645\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0630\u064a \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0632\u064a\u0627\u062f\u0629 \u062a\u0643\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0631\u0627\u0636. \u0648\u0646\u0648\u0651\u0647 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0627\u0639\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0636\u062e\u0645 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u062f\u0641\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u0648\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0641\u0627\u0638 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0635\u0627\u0631\u0645\u0629 \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0623\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u062a\u0642\u0648\u064a\u0636 \u0627\u0644\u0642\u0648\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0627\u0626\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0623\u064f\u0633\u0631\u060c \u0641\u064a \u0638\u0644 \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0639.<\/p>\n \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0648\u0633\u0637 \u0639\u0648\u0627\u0645\u0644 \u0623\u062e\u0631\u0649 \u0645\u0632\u0639\u0632\u0639\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u0627\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0631\u0627\u0631\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0636\u0637\u0631\u0627\u0628\u0627\u062a \u0633\u0644\u0627\u0633\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0648\u0631\u064a\u062f\u060c \u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0643\u0648\u0641\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0636\u0639 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a. \u0648\u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u062f\u0627\u0626\u0645\u0627\u060c \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u0639\u0645\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0628\u0627\u0637\u0624 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0642\u062f\u0645\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u0648\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0635\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0646\u0647\u064a\u0627\u0631\u0627\u064b \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0624\u062b\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0645\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a. \u0648\u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u0634\u0626\u0629\u060c \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0631\u062a\u0641\u0627\u0639 \u0623\u0633\u0639\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u0627\u0626\u062f\u0629 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0646\u062e\u0641\u0627\u0636 \u062d\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0642\u064a\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0645\u0644\u0629\u061b \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0628\u062f\u0648\u0631\u0647 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u0632\u064a\u062f \u0645\u0646 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u0639\u0646 \u0633\u062f\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062f\u064a\u0648\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0633\u064a\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u062d\u062f\u062b \u0641\u064a \u0633\u0631\u064a\u0644\u0627\u0646\u0643\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0641\u0631\u064a\u0644\/2022.<\/p>\n 9- \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0643\u0648\u0641\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0645\u0646\u062a\u0635\u0641 2023<\/p>\n (\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\/ Low probability; High impact)<\/p>\n \u0646\u0648\u0647 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0631\u0643\u0648\u062f \u062d\u0627\u062f \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a \u0646\u062a\u064a\u062c\u0629 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0643\u0648\u0641\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0644\u0643\u0646 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0647 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0641\u0642 \u0645\u0627 \u0630\u0643\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631. \u0648\u0623\u0643\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0643\u0648\u0645\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0644\u0627 \u062a\u0632\u0627\u0644 \u062a\u0639\u062a\u0642\u062f \u0623\u0646 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0648\u0627\u0621 \u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0647\u064a \u0636\u0631\u0648\u0631\u064a\u0629\u061b \u0644\u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0645\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0648\u0642\u0639 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631\u0627\u0631 \u0633\u064a\u0627\u0633\u0629 \u0635\u0641\u0631 \u0643\u0648\u0641\u064a\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062a\u0649 \u0645\u0646\u062a\u0635\u0641 \u0639\u0627\u0645 2023. \u0648\u0634\u062f\u062f \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0638\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u062a\u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0622\u062e\u0631 \u0644\u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633 \u0643\u0648\u0631\u0648\u0646\u0627 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u062a\u0627\u0621\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0625\u062c\u0631\u0627\u0621\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0625\u063a\u0644\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0627\u0631\u0645\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646 \u062a\u0638\u0644 \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629. \u0648\u0648\u0641\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u062a\u0633\u0628\u0628 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0645\u0631 \u0641\u064a \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0642\u0627\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0634\u0627\u0643\u0644 \u0642\u0637\u0627\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0637\u0627\u0642\u0629 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062c\u0641\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u062e\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0646\u0643\u0645\u0627\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u064a \u0628\u0634\u062f\u0629.<\/p>\n \u0648\u0628\u062d\u0633\u0628 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646 \u0648\u0627\u0642\u0639 \u0643\u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0646 \u0634\u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0623\u0646 \u064a\u0644\u0642\u064a \u0628\u0638\u0644\u0627\u0644\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0634\u0627\u0637 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u060c \u0648\u064a\u0624\u062f\u064a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062a\u062f\u0647\u0648\u0631 \u0645\u0639\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u062b\u0645\u0631\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0641\u0639\u0644\u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u0642\u062f \u064a\u064f\u0636\u0639\u0641 \u0623\u062f\u0627\u0621 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0633\u0648\u0627\u0642 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0648\u0645\u0646 \u062b\u064e\u0645\u064e\u0651 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u0646\u0648\u064a\u0639 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a\u0647\u0627 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0627\u062a\u062c\u0627\u0647 \u0646\u062d\u0648 \u0645\u0631\u0627\u0643\u0632 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0635\u0646\u064a\u0639 \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0644\u0648\u062c\u0633\u062a\u064a\u0643 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0648\u062c\u0648\u062f\u0629 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u062d\u0631\u0635\u062a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0639\u0627\u064a\u0634 \u0645\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0641\u064a\u0631\u0648\u0633. \u0648\u0637\u0628\u0642\u0627\u064b \u0644\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631\u060c \u0641\u0625\u0646\u0647 \u0648\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0633\u064a\u0643\u0648\u0646 \u0647\u0630\u0627 \u0645\u0643\u0644\u0641\u0627\u064b \u0648\u0633\u064a\u062d\u062a\u0627\u062c \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0623\u0637\u064a\u0631 \u0628\u0639\u0646\u0627\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0643\u0645\u0627 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0644\u0644\u0633\u0644\u0637\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0635\u064a\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0630\u0644\u0643\u060c \u0645\u0646 \u062e\u0644\u0627\u0644 \u0639\u0645\u0644\u064a\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0641\u062a\u064a\u0634 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0639\u0632\u0632\u0629\u060c \u0623\u0648 \u0627\u0644\u0647\u062c\u0648\u0645 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0633\u0645\u0639\u0629 \u062a\u0644\u0643 \u0627\u0644\u0634\u0631\u0643\u0627\u062a.<\/p>\n 10- \u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062c\u0627\u0646\u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a \u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629<\/p>\n (\u0633\u064a\u0646\u0627\u0631\u064a\u0648 \u062c\u062f \u0636\u0639\u064a\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644 \u0645\u0639 \u062a\u0623\u062b\u064a\u0631\u0627\u062a \u0645\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u062f \u0639\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629\/ Very low probability; Very high impact)<\/p>\n \u064a\u0631\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u0642\u0631\u064a\u0631 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0631\u063a\u0645 \u0645\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062a\u062d\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0628\u064a\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0629 \u0647\u064a \u0636\u0626\u064a\u0644\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0625\u0644\u0627 \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0624\u0643\u062f \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u062d\u062a\u0645\u0627\u0644\u064a\u0629 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b\u0647\u0627 \u0633\u062a\u064f\u062e\u0644\u0641 \u062a\u0628\u0639\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f\u064a\u0629 \u0643\u0628\u064a\u0631\u0629 \u062c\u062f\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0627\u0642\u062a\u0635\u0627\u062f \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a. \u0648\u0623\u0648\u0636\u062d \u0623\u0646\u0647 \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0635\u0628\u062d \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u0641\u064a \u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639\u0627\u064b \u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645\u064a\u0627\u064b\u060c \u0648\u0647\u0648 \u0645\u0627 \u0633\u064a\u0636\u0639 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u0641\u064a \u062d\u0627\u0644 \u062d\u062f\u0648\u062b \u0630\u0644\u0643 \u0641\u064a \u0645\u0648\u0627\u062c\u0647\u0629 \u0623\u0639\u0636\u0627\u0621 \u062d\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0627\u062a\u0648. \u0648\u0623\u0634\u0627\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631\u0628 \u062a\u0646\u0637\u0648\u064a \u0639\u0644\u0649 \u0645\u062e\u0627\u0637\u0631 \u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0628\u0627\u0644\u0646\u0633\u0628\u0629 \u0644\u0644\u062f\u0648\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0639\u0636\u0627\u0621 \u0641\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0644\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0645\u062a\u0627\u062e\u0645\u0629 \u0644\u0623\u0648\u0643\u0631\u0627\u0646\u064a\u0627 \u0648\u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646 \u0623\u0646 \u062a\u0646\u062c\u0631 \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0627\u0644\u0635\u0631\u0627\u0639 \u0639\u0646 \u063a\u064a\u0631 \u0642\u0635\u062f. \u0648\u0644\u0641\u062a \u0625\u0644\u0649 \u0623\u0646 \u0631\u0648\u0633\u064a\u0627 \u062c\u0647\u0632\u062a \u0642\u0648\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0631\u062f\u0639 \u0627\u0644\u0646\u0648\u0648\u064a \u0627\u0644\u062e\u0627\u0635\u0629 \u0628\u0647\u0627\u060c \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062a\u064a \u064a\u0645\u0643\u0646\u0647\u0627 \u0627\u0633\u062a\u0647\u062f\u0627\u0641 \u0627\u0644\u0628\u0646\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062a\u062d\u062a\u064a\u0629 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u064a\u0648\u064a\u0629\u060c \u0645\u062b\u0644 \u062e\u0637\u0648\u0637 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